Investing

Reading the
semiconductor cycle

I run a concentrated book in semiconductors, memory, and AI infrastructure. Below is the trading-only equity curve and the names I caught early, with the thinking behind them.

Focus

Semiconductors · Memory · AI infra

Timeframe

1–3 month swing holds

Approach

Fundamental-momentum

Role

My picks, my research

Equity curve

~+75% trading return

Apr–May 2026, deposit-adjusted

Indexed return 100 = account open

150 100
WDC $140
STX $380
MU $367
EWY $117
INTC $62.90
DRAM $33
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
Indexed to remove cash deposits, so the line reflects trading performance only. These are my picks since October 2025; the thesis paid off across April and May 2026 in a strong semiconductor market. The eight points are month-end anchors, so the smooth line between them is cosmetic interpolation, not daily performance.
Caught early Prices as of Jun 16, 2026 · owner-supplied, unverified

WDC

+401%

Western Digital

Caught at $140 → ~$701

MU

+195%

Micron Technology

Caught at ~$367 → ~$1,083

STX

+189%

Seagate Technology

Caught at $380 → $1,097.00

DRAM

+115%

Roundhill Memory ETF

Caught at ~$33 → ~$71

First pure-play memory ETF, caught days after launch (its 4th trading day).

EWY

+76%

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF

Caught at $117 → ~$206

INTC

+105%

Intel Corporation

Caught at $62.90 → $128.68

It came out of mapping the whole semiconductor and memory supply chain: Intel screened as the most asymmetric large-cap entry, heavily discounted with real catalysts pending.

How I invest

I run a concentrated book in semiconductors, memory, and AI infrastructure. My approach is fundamental-momentum: I research a company’s growth and operating performance, and I buy when price action confirms the market agrees with the thesis. Holds run one to three months, and I scale into names as conviction builds. It’s not a rigid system; it’s pattern recognition I’ve sharpened trade by trade.

I’m not a perfect trader: a few momentum names reversed on me, and those misses taught me more about position sizing and cutting losers than the wins did.

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